Mon, 12 December 2011
Its been another year of positive performance for the gold market, trading roughly 20% higher than where it began the year. Stocks, on the other hand, have been largely flat. Another year, another debt milestone, with the U.S. national debt crossing $15 trillion for the first time in history. Europe remains in flux, with yet another agreement coming forward, yet no true signs of action to give the market any reliable sense of direction. The result has been increased volatility within the range, both for gold and equities. The failure of MF Global is being largely downplayed in the media. Co-mingling investor funds with the firm's risky plays on credit default swaps has destroyed huge sums of private capital. Jon Corzine, in his testimony before the House Agricultural Committee, stated very simply when asked where client's funds went, "I don't know." As a major clearinghouse for commodity futures, MF Global's failure has put a significant dent in the perceived reliability of the futures market as a whole. The erosion of confidence in this arena suggests large swaths of investment capital may seek physical ownership to gain safer (absent of counter-party risk) exposure to the gold market. If this is indeed the trend, it won't take long for the broader market to realize just how little physical gold is actually available. 30 minutes, with George Cooper, Peter Grant, and Jonathan Kosares |
Mon, 7 November 2011
(November 1, 2011 discussion). European officials announced a "consensus" on solving their sovereign debt crisis, agreeing to leverage the existing ESFS 4x, bringing the lending power of the bailout facility to just over a trillion dollars. Market euphoria ensued, only to be scuttled shortly after as Greek Prime Minister Papandreou offered the Greek people an opportunity to vote on participation in the bailout through a referendum. Markets sold off sharply as the this was perceived to be a wrench in the whole deal. Now, the Greek referendum is being questioned as unconstitutional, and for now, it looks as though the existing bailout agreement will move forward. Volatility stemming from the uncertainty of the package has affected all markets, including gold. That said, gold now finds itself trading in the mid-$1700's, well off of its lows. In domestic news, MF Global has filed bankruptcy, citing losses on bets gone bad on European Sovereign debt. As the first major American failure linked to the sovereign debt problem in Europe, MF Global quietly represents the eighth largest bankruptcy in American history. While not "another Lehman", it is certainly newsworthy, and the general lack of concern within the market strikes a strong resemblance to the Bear Sterns failure in 2008. Also discussed are this week's FOMC meeting, the G20 meeting and unemployment reports due at the end of the week. With Peter Grant, George Cooper and Jonathan Kosares 30min. |
Wed, 24 August 2011
(August 23, discussion) Gold's ascent over the past few weeks has been remarkable. Following the downgrade of US debt by S&P, gold covered the distance between $1600 and $1900 in less than three weeks. Talk of gold being in a bubble quickly resurfaced as gold surged, though very little, if anything, in the bubble claims hold water. Net global investment in gold remains less than 1% of total assets, compared to levels as high as 5% in the 1960's. Perceived safe haven currencies such as the Yen and the Swiss Franc and being forcibly suppressed, while all other major currencies continue to decline. As Alan Greenspan said earlier this week, "Gold, unlike all other commodities, is a currency. And the major thrust in the demand for gold is not for jewelry. It's not for anything other than an escape from what is perceived to be a fiat money system, paper money, that seems to be deteriorating." Also discussed is Hugo Chavez' effort to repatriate Venezuela's gold from the Bank of England, setting the stage for other countries to attempt the same, raising questions about just how much gold is really out there to fill this kind of demand. Last week was also the 40th anniversary of Nixon closing the gold window.-- With Peter Grant, George Cooper, and Jonathan Kosares. 23min. |
Wed, 3 August 2011
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Thu, 14 April 2011
4.11.2011 Round Table |
Wed, 13 April 2011
(April 11, 2011) -- An assessment of today's closing metals report and current news. |
Wed, 26 January 2011
USAGOLD RoundTable (January 26, 2011) -- Has Anything Really Changed? Trends to Follow in 2011 |
Tue, 16 November 2010
USAGOLD RoundTable (November 16, 2010) -- QE2 + G20 = Bright Future for Gold |
Fri, 22 October 2010
Client newsletter published by USAGOLD-Centennial Precious Metals for November, 2010 |
Tue, 19 October 2010
USAGOLD RoundTable (October 19, 2010) -- QE2 & 'ForeclosureGate'... The Folly of Renewed Market Euphoria. |

